Research

Level Set – Our Top Investment Ideas

The subject matter in our recent research has been diverse – from risks that could introduce volatility into earnings and available alpha, to the case for gross margin expansion for the average stock. We have also focused on management decision making- earlier this week we published a note on “mergers of equals” (Mergers of Equals

Read More »

Mergers of Equals – And Reasons Many Fail

Last Fall, Choice Hotels (CHH) announced its intention to buy Wyndham Hotels (WYND).  When we looked up the market capitalization and enterprise value of each, we were surprised to see how close in size the target was to the acquirer.  It inspired us to take a more detailed look at deals where the market cap.

Read More »

In Case You Missed It – Monthly Digest: January 2024

2024 is off to a busy start for us at Trivariate. On top of our regular way research and slew of in-person client meetings in New York, Connecticut, Boston, Texas, and Florida, we wrote an op-ed in the Financial Times (How investors should navigate the slump in IPOs) and joined Josh Brown’s Compound & Friends

Read More »

Level Set – 35 Billion Reasons to Care About Earnings

Many high frequency quants purposely avoid trading stocks around earnings – because their algorithms are less efficacious when new information about the P&L of reporting companies becomes available. You read that right – a large and growing cohort of firms have employees who only trade in stocks when they are not reporting results. The earnings

Read More »

Monthly Digest – January 2024

2024 is off to a busy start for us at Trivariate. On top of our regular way research and slew of in-person client meetings in New York, Connecticut, Boston, Texas, and Florida, we wrote an op-ed in the Financial Times (How investors should navigate the slump in IPOs) and joined Josh Brown’s Compound & Friends

Read More »

Level Set – The US Election Playbook: Is Asking Even Relevant?

One of our least favorite subject matters to write about is politics. Firstly, it is likely too early to have a productive read on what will happen in the 2024 elections. Secondly, we think in many cases the conventional wisdom about what is politically good or bad for markets is overwhelmed by other factors, like

Read More »