Research

Level Set – Breadth, Some Huge Stock Opportunities, and Anti-NVDA Alpha

The topic of market breadth has been surfacing in our conversations and in the media with increasing frequency. Seemingly every time we are on a panel, or on TV, a macro strategist is pronouncing how breadth is a positive and healthy indicator. We think breadth is favorable for stock selection, but don’t think it means

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r/Key Conclusions on Successful IPOs

The Reddit IPO is imminent, and, as such, we updated our key IPO research conclusions.  Free float, majority sellers, and profitability matters for the distribution of outcomes.  If history is accurate, this dictates that Reddit will perform…

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Level Set – Are Small Caps the Alternative to the Magnificent 7?

During our investor conversations this past week, the subject of small-caps and the dramatic outperformance of the Magnificent 7 once again surfaced. We must admit we have mixed thoughts. On the one hand, we know that semiconductors are cyclical. Sure, the periodicity and amplitude of an AI-induced cycle can be different than previous cycles, but

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Monthly Digest – February 2024

Earlier this week, we outlined “Ten Investment Views for the Next Ten Years.” These ideas cut across asset classes and geographies and are, of course, all long-term in nature. Each topic could probably be addressed with dozens of charts, arguments, and counter arguments. We did our best to channel Mark Twain – and took the

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